Taiwan Semiconductor: Why Betting Against AI Acceleration and Leading 3-nm Technology May Not Pay Off

TSM’s Shift Towards Advanced Technologies: Expanding Profit Margins and Reducing Seasonality

Since my last writing, TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) has continued to make strides in the semiconductor industry. One significant development is the company’s increasing focus on more advanced 3 nm and 5 nm technologies. This shift brings about two critical advantages for TSMC.

Expanding Profit Margins

Firstly, the adoption of these advanced technologies allows TSMC to command higher profit margins. The manufacturing process for 3 nm and 5 nm chips is more complex and expensive than older technologies. As a result, TSMC can charge a premium for the chips they produce using these technologies.

Moreover, these advanced chips offer better performance and energy efficiency compared to their predecessors. This makes them highly desirable for various applications, particularly in the tech industry where there is a constant demand for faster and more power-efficient devices. The high demand for these chips, coupled with TSMC’s production expertise and economies of scale, enables the company to charge a premium price.

Reducing Seasonality

Secondly, the shift towards more advanced technologies helps to reduce the normal seasonality for smartphones. Traditionally, there has been a seasonal demand for smartphones, with sales peaking during the holiday season. This seasonality is due to consumer behavior, with many people purchasing new devices as gifts or upgrading their existing devices during the holiday season.

However, with the increasing adoption of advanced technologies in smartphones, the need for frequent upgrades has decreased. Consumers are holding onto their devices for longer periods, and the lifespan of a smartphone is now measured in years rather than months. This trend is expected to continue as 5G technology becomes more widespread and devices that support it become more affordable.

Moreover, the production of advanced chips is not seasonal. TSMC can produce these chips throughout the year, enabling a more consistent demand and revenue stream. This reduces the seasonality of TSMC’s smartphone business and makes it more predictable.

Effects on Consumers

For consumers, the shift towards more advanced technologies by TSMC means that they can expect better performance and longer battery life in their devices. Additionally, the reduced seasonality of smartphone production means that there will be a more consistent supply of new devices throughout the year, making it easier for consumers to upgrade when they choose.

Effects on the World

On a larger scale, TSMC’s focus on more advanced technologies has significant implications for the tech industry and the world as a whole. The increased competition among chip manufacturers to produce the most advanced chips will drive innovation and technological progress. This, in turn, will lead to the development of new applications and industries that rely on these advanced chips.

Additionally, the reduced seasonality of smartphone production will make it easier for companies to plan their supply chains and inventory management. This will lead to more efficient and cost-effective production processes and lower prices for consumers.

Conclusion

TSM’s shift towards more advanced 3 nm and 5 nm technologies brings about significant advantages for the company, including expanded profit margins and reduced seasonality. For consumers, this means better performing and longer-lasting devices, as well as a more consistent supply of new devices throughout the year. For the tech industry and the world, this shift will drive innovation, lead to the development of new applications and industries, and make production processes more efficient and cost-effective.

As TSMC continues to push the boundaries of semiconductor technology, we can expect to see even more advancements in the years to come. These advancements will have far-reaching implications for the tech industry and the world as a whole, and it will be exciting to see how they unfold.

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